Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.232422 3.786388 4.376564 5.049003 5.790810 6.581124 7.483707
2024-10-20 2.429612 3.187756 4.056712 5.112900 6.348475 7.735208 9.396025
2024-10-27 1.803296 2.648690 3.688250 5.028333 6.677734 8.610568 11.014897
2024-11-03 1.441765 2.350696 3.541025 5.154202 7.223734 9.732651 12.945256
2024-11-10 1.157084 2.091405 3.390988 5.234695 7.687945 10.749701 14.766103
2024-11-17 0.883878 1.788978 3.131137 5.125818 7.876751 11.406543 16.142625
2024-11-24 0.667662 1.523769 2.879297 4.987566 7.995345 11.954585 17.376299
2024-12-01 0.521987 1.339942 2.717767 4.950614 8.232045 12.646962 18.797173
2024-12-08 0.401788 1.170476 2.551098 4.881703 8.406248 13.247186 20.099176
2024-12-15 0.351609 1.125662 2.581724 5.110443 9.009582 14.439275 22.205669
2024-12-22 0.283420 1.023559 2.497673 5.146059 9.323510 15.233772 23.789236
2024-12-29 0.255575 1.006478 2.562660 5.423215 10.003644 16.551507 26.103521
2025-01-05 0.221468 0.967088 2.585119 5.637154 10.606350 17.791163 28.360976
2025-01-12 0.180824 0.897135 2.539226 5.730484 11.025568 18.779694 30.294228
2025-01-19 0.134161 0.789619 2.401228 5.650396 11.165690 19.365223 31.675645
2025-01-26 0.111088 0.746120 2.390208 5.792590 11.660294 20.474844 33.808051
2025-02-02 0.089035 0.694844 2.353751 5.882668 12.069429 21.462728 35.779953
2025-02-09 0.061982 0.604971 2.213674 5.765759 12.130264 21.928959 37.012299
2025-02-16 0.040640 0.518817 2.064797 5.616167 12.124611 22.288378 38.090603
2025-02-23 0.027884 0.461523 1.976599 5.576290 12.298400 22.919095 39.566387
2025-03-02 0.017811 0.404391 1.876351 5.501502 12.405110 23.444488 40.892174
2025-03-09 0.015307 0.402121 1.930196 5.750182 13.083428 24.867175 43.553759
2025-03-16 0.010425 0.368812 1.887028 5.788900 13.390111 25.713140 45.373469